Commentary, Equities, Featured, Interest Rates|October 2, 2012 11:00 am

Broz on Bonds

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Adjusted on: 10/1

Comments: Bonds: I think the bulls need this pivot and it’s likely they’ll need 150.09 – but doing so brings 151.17 into play. Downside, the bears MIGHT get something going below 148.14 – but it might take a failure of 148.04. 10s: Trade up thru 133.29 projects to 134.30. Best weakness comes below 132.23. 5s: We could get first weakness below 124.11, but BEST weakness is below 124.05_7 (seeks 123.235). Guard against a chop at the pivot – but if the bulls win-out (especially above 124.24) favor the bulls as there is a target up at 125.25. SPs: If the bulls can get trade above 1446 it lets them take a run at 1468.25. Weakness – and that includes rejecting 1446 brings 1424.50 into play. Continued weakness at 24.50 targets 1408.

DEC BONDS

DEC 10s

DEC 5s

151.17* target

134.22 target

125.13

150.21

134.12 target

125.085 pivotal

150.09 follow thru?

133.29 sm pivotal

124.30 target

149.28 PIVOT

133.23 PIVOT

124.24 long above

149.05 look for weakness

133.12 sell

124.215 PIVOT (true)

148.31*

133.06* target

124.175*

148.14 target

132.31*

124.11*

148.04 pivotal

132.23 pivotal

124.05_7 pivotal

147.10* weak below tho

132.165*

123.31 weaker below

146.29 target

132.085 major

123.235 target

 

 

 

123.19 pivotal

DEC SP500

1468.25 pivotal

1456.75*

1446.00 watch

1435.25* PIVOT

1424.50 watch

1417.00

1413.75*

1408.00 pivotal

1398.50 support?

1387.00*

 

Economic Calendar (all times Central) Expected Last

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